Graham Center One-Pager

Medical School Expansion: An Immediate Opportunity to Meet Rural Health Care Needs


Am Fam Physician. 2007 Jul 15;76(2):208.

The first expansion of allopathic medical education in 35 years is under way; this could eliminate rural physician shortage areas if students more likely to practice in rural areas are preferentially admitted and supported.

Although 21 percent of the U.S. population lives in rural areas, only 10 percent of physicians practice there.1 Currently, allopathic medical schools are expanding, bolstered by calls from the Association of American Medical Colleges and the Council on Graduate Medical Education to increase medical student positions by 15 to 30 percent over the next decade.2 Thus, there exists a rare opportunity to link school expansion to policy goals.

The educational pipeline to rural medical practice is long and complex, from rural elementary education to rural residency training tracks. Increasing the number of rural-background students in medical school is important to reduce disparities in physician distribution. Solutions must be aimed at selecting the “right” students and giving them the “right” content and experiences to train them for rural practice. Despite evidence that students of rural origin are more likely to practice in a rural area,3 in the past two decades rural student matriculation has declined while rural health care shortages persist.4

Medical school expansion provides an opportunity to reconsider how the physician workforce can be aligned with national and local needs. Expansion without consideration of physician distribution will likely perpetuate the concentration of physicians in urban areas and near major medical centers. Policies aimed at selecting students most likely to practice in rural areas could assist in securing an adequate supply of well-trained rural physicians.

It is estimated that the elimination of primary care health professional shortage areas requires an additional 8,755 primary care physicians,5 3,222 in rural settings.5,6 A medical school expansion of 15 percent (2,473 students per year) could fill this gap in less than 10 years if 15 percent of this increase were prepared and inspired to enter rural practice, and an expansion of 30 percent in less than five years, assuming a stable rural population (see accompanying figure).5,6 Policies supporting preference for rural-born applicants, rural training tracks in medical schools and residencies, financial support for rural physicians, and increased awareness of federal bonus payments for underserved areas are options for increasing rural matriculation and eventual service. Expansion that is not aligned with policy aims is unlikely to address specific needs, whereas thoughtful expansion provides an opportunity to help rural America.

View/Print Figure


Medical school expansion and rural health professional shortage areas.

Information from references 5 and 6.


Medical school expansion and rural health professional shortage areas.

Information from references 5 and 6.

Adapted from the Graham Center One-Pager #50. Hyer J, Bazemore AW, Bowman R, Zhang X, Petterson S, Phillips R. Medical school expansion: an immediate opportunity to meet rural health care needs. July 2007. Available at From the Robert Graham Center: Policy Studies in Family Medicine and Primary Care, Washington, D.C. (telephone: 202-331-3360; e-mail:

The information and opinions contained in research from the Graham Center do not necessarily reflect the views or the policy of the AAFP.



show all references

1. Brooks RG, Walsh M, Mardon RE, Lewis M, Clawson A. The roles of nature and nurture in the recruitment and retention of primary care physicians in rural areas: a review of the literature. Acad Med. 2002;77:790–8....

2. Association of American Medical Colleges. AAMC statement on the physician workforce. AAMC, June 15, 2006.

3. Hyer JL, Bazemore AW, Bowman RC, Zhang X, Petterson S, Phillips RL. Rural origins and choosing family medicine predict future rural practice. Am Fam Physician. 2007;76:207.

4. Bowman RC. Rural background, rural interest, rural workforce. Accessed May 7, 2007, at:

5. Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) data. August 2006.

6. Robert Graham Center calculation based on 2006 HRSA data, defining “rural” as RUCA codes 1–3 and “urban” as RUCA codes 4–9.



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