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Point-of-Care Guides

Assessing the Risk of Developing Atrial Fibrillation

Mark H. Ebell, MD, MS

American Family Physician. 2025;111(6):554-555.

Author disclosure: No relevant financial relationships.

This clinical content conforms to AAFP criteria for CME.

MARK H. EBELL, MD, MS, Michigan State University, East Lansing

Address correspondence to Mark H. Ebell MD, MS, at ebell@msu.edu.

Author disclosure: No relevant financial relationships.

  1. 1.Ruddox V, Sandven I, Munkhaugen J, et al. Atrial fibrillation and the risk for myocardial infarction, all-cause mortality and heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2017;24(14):1555-1566.
  2. 2.Alonso A, Krijthe BP, Aspelund T, et al. Simple risk model predicts incidence of atrial fibrillation in a racially and geographically diverse population: the CHARGE-AF consortium. J Am Heart Assoc. 2013;2(2):e000102.
  3. 3.Schnabel RB, Sullivan LM, Levy D, et al. Development of a risk score for atrial fibrillation (Framingham Heart Study): a community-based cohort study. Lancet. 2009;373(9665):739-745.
  4. 4.Himmelreich JCL, Veelers L, Lucassen WAM, et al. Prediction models for atrial fibrillation applicable in the community: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Europace. 2020;22(5):684-694.
  5. 5.Segan L, Canovas R, Nanayakkara S, et al. New-onset atrial fibrillation prediction: the HARMS2-AF risk score. Eur Heart J. 2023;44(36):3443-3452.

This guide is one in a series that offers evidence-based tools to assist family physicians in improving their decision-making at the point of care.

This series is coordinated by Mark H. Ebell, MD, MS, deputy editor for evidence-based medicine.

A collection of Point-of-Care Guides published in AFP is available at https://www.aafp.org/afp/poc.

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